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Old 05-10-2006, 11:18 PM #1
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Dems lead polls by Double Digits

http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/05/...oll/index.html


WASHINGTON (CNN) -- A CNN poll released Wednesday may continue the anxiety for the GOP, showing Democrats with a 14-point advantage over Republicans among registered voters asked their preferences in this year's midterm elections.

The poll, conducted for CNN by Opinion Research Corp., found that 52 percent of respondents who were registered voters said they were leaning toward voting for a Democrat, while 38 percent said they were leaning toward a Republican.

Ten percent said they didn't know how they would vote or that they would choose a candidate not from the two major parties. (Watch what is pulling down the president's approval rating -- 2:07)

Among all Americans, the poll found 50 percent leaning toward Democrats, 37 leaning toward the Republicans and 3 percent intending to vote for non-majority candidates. Ten percent had no opinion

The poll, based on telephone interviews with 1,021 adult Americans between Friday and Sunday, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. (View the poll results -- PDF)

Republicans are suffering politically, the poll suggested, because nearly half of the Americans interviewed said they think the country is on the wrong track.

Forty-six percent of respondents said they believed things were going well and 53 percent said they felt things were going badly. Two percent had no opinion. The question had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

The figures are nearly reversed from what a similar CNN poll found in February, when 51 percent of respondents said they thought things were going well and 47 percent said things were going badly.

Republicans enjoy a 29-seat majority in the House and a 10-seat majority in the Senate, but political watchers say those majorities, especially the one in the House, may be threatened.

Democrats would need to pick up 15 seats to regain the House and six seats to take control of the Senate.

Rep. Roy Blunt of Missouri, the No. 3 Republican official in the House, told CNN he isn't worried about his party losing power.

"Between now and [the midterm elections], the Democrats are going to be forced to define what they're for," said Blunt, who is the majority whip.

"That's going to work to our advantage as it works to our advantage to have a chance to explain what we're for."

Congressional Republicans have also been weighed down by the public's low opinion of President Bush's job performance.

A CNN poll released Monday found Bush's approval rating was 34 percent -- an uptick of 2 percentage points from the most recent CNN poll in late April. (Full story)

The president's disapproval rating was 58 percent, down 2 points from the previous poll. (View Bush's latest approval numbers)

The poll, also done by Opinion Research Corp., was based on interviews of 1,021 adults. Both shifts are within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

More than half of those who disapproved of Bush's job performance -- 56 percent -- said the war in Iraq was the reason. (Read the full poll results -- PDF)

Thirteen percent said the recent increase in gas prices had fueled their displeasure. Twenty-six percent gave other reasons.

Because that question was asked only of those who disapproved, it had a different sampling error -- 4 percentage points.


----Any implications here to you guys? Are any conservatives worried about their state?
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Old 05-11-2006, 12:16 AM #2
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Nothing new. If McCain runs, Republicans win. If not, they're ****ed. I really don't care because as Bush has shown us, just because someone tells us that they belong to a certain political party, doesn't mean that they will also act the part.
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Old 05-11-2006, 12:18 AM #3
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it doesnlt matter if the democrats are ahead, they will just rig the voting ballots
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Old 05-11-2006, 12:28 AM #4
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Dems being ahead now is a surprose to you?
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Old 05-11-2006, 06:54 AM #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mark2582
Nothing new. If McCain runs, Republicans win. If not, they're ****ed. I really don't care because as Bush has shown us, just because someone tells us that they belong to a certain political party, doesn't mean that they will also act the part.
Maybe, but you gotta remember this is the same McCain that was beaten by Bush.
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Old 05-11-2006, 07:16 AM #6
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McCain would probably not make it past the primaries
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Old 05-11-2006, 09:02 AM #7
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"The poll, conducted for CNN by Opinion Research Corp.," Nuff said.

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Old 05-11-2006, 09:10 AM #8
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TIME also had polls showing majority going to Dems.

Here's a quote from the article, had to look it up on ProQuest...

Quote:
Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who masterminded the 1994 elections that brought Republicans to power on promises of revolutionizing the way Washington is run, told TIME that his party has so bungled the job of governing that the best campaign slogan for Democrats today could be boiled down to just two words: "Had enough?"
Also

Quote:
Since 1854, six Presidents have faced congressional elections in their second term. In every case but Clinton's, the President's party lost House seats
I wouldn't doubt republicans losing them this round either...
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Old 05-11-2006, 09:14 AM #9
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you guys know that this is about the elections this year...not the presidential one in 08 right?

And i wouldnbt be surprised if the dems take back both houses of congress

but i could also see them screwing up between now and then and loosing them to a greater margin
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Old 05-11-2006, 02:31 PM #10
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I never thought I would live to see the day where the current Democrats in power would ACTUALLY utilize this opportunity to take Congress. I mean, the Repubs have been ****ing up for how many years, and the Dems have not ONCE taken advantage?
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Old 05-11-2006, 02:34 PM #11
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We need real republicans.
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Old 05-11-2006, 02:36 PM #12
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I'm not saying democrats didnt learn any lessons from losing to W AGAIN! but I wouldnt put it by them to be leading double digits all the way to election day and then some how screwing it up....
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Old 05-11-2006, 02:45 PM #13
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I'm not saying democrats didnt learn any lessons from losing to W AGAIN! but I wouldnt put it by them to be leading double digits all the way to election day and then some how screwing it up....
That's not biased at all.

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Old 05-11-2006, 02:52 PM #14
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hey, I had faith, i voted for edwards in the primary, and kerry in the election, but what I learned from the whole ordeal is that the democrats didnt know what they were doing. 11 members of the flying circuis primary had the message how important it was to defeat bush, but then after seeing kerry win the power house of iowa everyone assumed he was the man for the job.

primaries left voters confused, and bush had the religious vote from the start...not that kerry isnt a religous guy, but when was the last time the dems ever made an attempt to show they have a religious side? 2 presidential debates before the election? too little too late.

we had a thousand troops dead in iraq, an iraqi government cutting eachothers throats, and ecenomic downturn, and a stagnant unpopular war..

oh well, the 2 party system is a ever tipping scale. As one party gains more and more members, its original message becomes diluted, sharpening the other side. Hopefully 08 will be different, but i have my doubts
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Old 05-11-2006, 03:19 PM #15
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The problem today is that our republicans are so far right and our democrats are so far left. The last few years have really divided our country and the ideologies of each party, creating no middle ground.
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Old 05-11-2006, 04:08 PM #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trix
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/05/...oll/index.html


WASHINGTON (CNN) -- A CNN poll released Wednesday may continue the anxiety for the GOP, showing Democrats with a 14-point advantage over Republicans among registered voters asked their preferences in this year's midterm elections.

The poll, conducted for CNN by Opinion Research Corp., found that 52 percent of respondents who were registered voters said they were leaning toward voting for a Democrat, while 38 percent said they were leaning toward a Republican.

Ten percent said they didn't know how they would vote or that they would choose a candidate not from the two major parties. (Watch what is pulling down the president's approval rating -- 2:07)

Among all Americans, the poll found 50 percent leaning toward Democrats, 37 leaning toward the Republicans and 3 percent intending to vote for non-majority candidates. Ten percent had no opinion

The poll, based on telephone interviews with 1,021 adult Americans between Friday and Sunday, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. (View the poll results -- PDF)

Republicans are suffering politically, the poll suggested, because nearly half of the Americans interviewed said they think the country is on the wrong track.

Forty-six percent of respondents said they believed things were going well and 53 percent said they felt things were going badly. Two percent had no opinion. The question had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

The figures are nearly reversed from what a similar CNN poll found in February, when 51 percent of respondents said they thought things were going well and 47 percent said things were going badly.

Republicans enjoy a 29-seat majority in the House and a 10-seat majority in the Senate, but political watchers say those majorities, especially the one in the House, may be threatened.

Democrats would need to pick up 15 seats to regain the House and six seats to take control of the Senate.

Rep. Roy Blunt of Missouri, the No. 3 Republican official in the House, told CNN he isn't worried about his party losing power.

"Between now and [the midterm elections], the Democrats are going to be forced to define what they're for," said Blunt, who is the majority whip.

"That's going to work to our advantage as it works to our advantage to have a chance to explain what we're for."

Congressional Republicans have also been weighed down by the public's low opinion of President Bush's job performance.

A CNN poll released Monday found Bush's approval rating was 34 percent -- an uptick of 2 percentage points from the most recent CNN poll in late April. (Full story)

The president's disapproval rating was 58 percent, down 2 points from the previous poll. (View Bush's latest approval numbers)

The poll, also done by Opinion Research Corp., was based on interviews of 1,021 adults. Both shifts are within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

More than half of those who disapproved of Bush's job performance -- 56 percent -- said the war in Iraq was the reason. (Read the full poll results -- PDF)

Thirteen percent said the recent increase in gas prices had fueled their displeasure. Twenty-six percent gave other reasons.

Because that question was asked only of those who disapproved, it had a different sampling error -- 4 percentage points.


----Any implications here to you guys? Are any conservatives worried about their state?
exit polls also showed Kerry winning the '04 election
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Old 05-11-2006, 04:23 PM #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XOne
The problem today is that our republicans are so far right and our democrats are so far left. The last few years have really divided our country and the ideologies of each party, creating no middle ground.

But strategic extremism helps make keep each canidate defined on issues, which wins more votes. Remember, congressman are more concerned with getting re-elected than anything else, and a extreme point of view often draws the most people to the polls.
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Old 05-11-2006, 05:22 PM #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XOne
The problem today is that our republicans are so far right and our democrats are so far left. The last few years have really divided our country and the ideologies of each party, creating no middle ground.
Parties may be on the extremes, but the almost every canidate just hovers around that middle ground.
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Old 05-11-2006, 06:21 PM #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XOne
The problem today is that our republicans are so far right and our democrats are so far left. The last few years have really divided our country and the ideologies of each party, creating no middle ground.
I would say they are controlled by a fringe on the extreme and those in the middle are too lazy to do anything.

Not that I care since I disagree with all of them, and won't be happy either way, but that is besides the point. Basic competency is all I ask for out of these people. And in Bush's case, basic literacy.
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Old 05-11-2006, 06:21 PM #20
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The Democrats will fail.

Vote libertarian.
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Old 05-11-2006, 06:36 PM #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by I love Impulses
The Democrats will fail.

Vote libertarian.
I agree as to the Dems failing, but I honestly think that given the amount of obstruction from left in both the Senate and House, the Republicans have made some headway. If what was presented by the dems in the past 5+ years was accurate, the economy would be in dire straights, and that couldn't be further from whats actually happening, not to mention Americans who got off their ***es and got jobs, with unemployment VERY low. Sure there were screwups in Iraq, and sure there was scandal after scandal, and sure the whiney bleeding heart dems tried every trick in the book, but take off the blinders and you'll see quite a bit of positive coming out. Yes, things could be better, but with dems constantly peddling doom and gloom, it's a wonder they get votes at all!
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