Originally Posted by SNAKESNIPER
But the total amount of market share is in the PSP vendors' favour, due to the double turnout, if not more (speculation, but likely).
The NPPL is significantly smaller than the PSP. We'll call it half the size for the sake of conversation. If the PSP recovered every team to play NPPL this season after the NPPL dies, that would still be less than a 50% increase in sales. Let me preface these calculations with the fact that everything is very ballpark and assumes equal market share among paint vendors. This does not account for the alleged $10,000 "penalty" on top of the standard paint vendor price, although that would be pennies to KEE and GI for a season even if the PSP gave them all of it. This is obviously not a perfect representation and only shows the general concept of what's going on.
With full team retention from NPPL:
150% of sales / 3 vendors = 50% of sales per vendor
2012 PSP season:
100% of sales / 2 vendors = 50% of sales per vendor
This means with an even distribution of paint sales per vendor and maximum team retention from the dead NPPL, KEE and GI would be looking at a best case scenario of no change in sales from 2012. However, we all know there are plenty of 7-man teams that won't play PSP for one reason or another. Let's say that half of the NPPL teams decide not to play PSP after the NPPL dies.
With 50% team retention from NPPL:
125% of sales / 3 vendors = 41.7% of sales per vendor
That's assuming, again, that paint sales are evenly distributed among each paint vendor, and NPPL teams are retained for every event. Now let's update the calculations and say that of the 50% of NPPL teams that migrated to PSP, half of them get murdered playing the same division they do in the NPPL (ex D1 NPPL team moves to D1 PSP) and decide they aren't going to play PSP anymore. I'm not saying NPPL teams suck, just bringing to your attention the possibility of a drop in attendance after NPPL teams discover how different the format is from their chosen one.
With 25% team retention from NPPL:
113% of sales / 3 vendors = 37.7% of sales per vendor
Now KEE and GI have taken a bath on their paint sales and now net nearly 13% less per event despite having the same costs, unless they acquire a larger market share than Valken.
From this very basic perspective it's easy to see that the PSP allowing Valken to participate after the NPPL dies isn't about profit. It's charity.